2025 Mountain West Preview

2025: The Final Chapter of the Mountain West Conference as We Know It

The year 2025 will mark the end of an era for the Mountain West Conference. The 2024 season brought success and national recognition to the league, highlighted by Boise State’s historic appearance in the College Football Playoff.

However, 2025 will be the final season of the conference in its current form. Boise State, Colorado State, Fresno State, San Diego State, and Utah State are all set to depart for the Pac-12 in 2026. These five programs have combined for 11 Mountain West titles since 2013. San Jose State added one more, winning the conference during the COVID-shortened 2020 season.

For years, the Mountain West remained relatively untouched by the waves of conference realignment. That changed when the Pac-12 came calling. In 2024, the Mountain West emerged as the top Group of Five conference, especially after the American Athletic Conference lost Cincinnati, Houston, and UCF to the Big 12, and SMU to the ACC.

Boise State's Final Run

Boise State will likely enter the 2025 season as the favorite to win the conference in its swan song. The Broncos do face a major challenge in replacing Heisman Trophy finalist Ashton Jeanty but return veteran quarterback Maddux Madsen and a seasoned offensive line. They also landed key playmakers, including Fresno State transfer running back Malik Sherrod and standout back Dylan Riley, who together should power a strong rushing attack.

UNLV Turns to Dan Mullen

Dan Mullen makes his return to coaching as the new head coach at UNLV. The Rebels should remain competitive under his leadership. Mullen signed the largest contract in Mountain West history—$3.5 million per year. With a career record of 103-61 and previous stints at Mississippi State and Florida, Mullen brings experience and credibility. He also pulled in top-tier talent from the transfer portal, including quarterbacks Anthony Colandrea (Virginia) and Alex Orji (Michigan).

San Jose State Adapts Under Niumatalolo

Ken Niumatalolo enters his second season at San Jose State. After years of running the triple-option at Navy, Niumatalolo shifted the Spartans to a pass-heavy offense. That transition could pay dividends, and San Jose State is expected to be in the mix for the conference title.

Middle-of-the-Pack Contenders

Air Force and Colorado State are projected to finish in the middle tier of the standings, but both programs have experienced head coaches and momentum on their side. After starting 1-7 in 2024, Air Force finished with four straight wins and returns a roster filled with experience. Colorado State is coming off an eight-win season—their best since going 10-4 in 2014—under the steady leadership of Jay Norvell, one of the most respected coaches in the conference.

Hawai‘i is looking to return to bowl eligibility for the first time since 2020. Head coach Timmy Chang enters a pivotal fourth season at his alma mater.

Fresno State Begins a New Era

Fresno State has long been a top contender in the Mountain West, and 2025 brings a new chapter with the arrival of head coach Matt Entz. A former FCS national champion at North Dakota State (60-11 record), Entz spent last season as an assistant at USC. The Bulldogs lost several key players to the transfer portal, including QB Mikey Keene, RB Malik Sherrod, and WR Jalen Moss, but expectations remain high.

Coaching Carousel Continues

Bronco Mendenhall returns for another stint in the Mountain West—this time with Utah State after coaching New Mexico in 2024. He previously spent 11 seasons at BYU (2005–2015), giving him deep ties to the region.

Jason Eck leaves Idaho to take over as head coach at New Mexico. Mendenhall’s departure sets up an interesting coaching reshuffle that may influence both programs' fortunes.

Programs Looking to Rebuild

Nevada and San Diego State are hoping to rebound after difficult seasons. Nevada has suffered through three straight 10-loss campaigns, while San Diego State finished 3-9 in 2024—its worst record since 2008. New head coaches Jeff Choate (Nevada) and Sean Lewis (San Diego State) are aiming to spark turnarounds in 2025.

The Future of the Conference

While five schools are set to leave in 2026, the Mountain West is preparing to welcome UTEP and Northern Illinois next season. It will undoubtedly be a different league moving forward, but for now, fans should savor this final season with its current lineup.

As the Mountain West closes one chapter and prepares for the next, expect Boise State and UNLV to lead the charge in what promises to be a compelling and emotional farewell season.

San Jose State

Ken Niumatalolo is more than just a master of the triple option. He has proven himself to be an outstanding football coach who knows how to win in today’s ever-evolving college football landscape.

During his 15-year tenure as head coach at Navy, Niumatalolo compiled 109 wins and consistently developed talent in the challenging environment of a service academy. His success at Navy demonstrated his ability to build a competitive program against the odds.

After the 2023 season, Brent Brennan left San Jose State to take the head coaching job at Arizona. Following a one-year hiatus from coaching, Niumatalolo seized the opportunity to return, accepting the head coaching position at San Jose State. In his first season, he led the Spartans to their third consecutive winning season—something the program hadn’t achieved since the 1990s—despite inheriting a team in need of a full rebuild.

While the Spartans lost several players to the transfer portal, Niumatalolo made key additions that bolstered the roster, especially in terms of depth. Fortunately, San Jose State’s 2025 Mountain West schedule is favorable, giving the team a solid shot at continued success.

One glaring weakness from last season was the running game. The Spartans ranked 130th nationally in rushing offense. Still, there were bright spots—Floyd Chalk averaged 4.7 yards per carry and rushed for 721 yards and 10 touchdowns. With improvements expected from a more experienced and deeper offensive line, the run game could take a step forward. Though the line lost a few contributors, it remains a strong, cohesive unit that limited sacks and tackles for loss last season.

At quarterback, Walker Eget is expected to lead the offense. Though CJ Lee is seen as the future at the position, the job is clearly Eget’s to lose. Emmett Brown’s transfer to Coastal Carolina further solidifies Eget’s role.

While the Spartans will miss its dynamic playmaker Nick Nash, they’ve added key pieces at wide receiver, including Leland Smith (Purdue), Malachi Riley (Arizona), and Danny Scudero (Sacramento State).

Defensively, the line showed inconsistency in 2024, particularly on third down, an issue that may persist in 2025. However, the unit, led by Gafa Faga, has solid depth in the 3-4 scheme.

The secondary was a highlight last season, tying with BYU for the most interceptions in the country (21). However, replacing key players like DJ Harvey, Michael Dansby, and Robert Rahimi will be a challenge. That said, the returning group is senior-heavy and brings valuable experience and depth.

For San Jose State to build on last season’s momentum, the defense must continue creating turnovers. In 2024, the Spartans ranked fifth nationally in takeaways. They were 5-0 in games where they forced more than three turnovers, but just 2-6 when they forced fewer than three.

Fresno State

Fresno State is set to embark on a new era in 2025, marking a pivotal moment in the program’s history.

The Bulldogs have been guided by legendary coaches like Jim Sweeney, Pat Hill, Tim DeRuyter, and Jeff Tedford. Hill brought national attention to the program, while DeRuyter had early success coaching Derek Carr before the team declined. Tedford had a strong tenure and retired after the 2023 season due to health concerns.

Kalen DeBoer also made an impact during his brief stint, coaching the Bulldogs for two seasons before moving on to Washington and later Alabama.

Now, Fresno State turns to Matt Entz, a proven winner from FCS powerhouse North Dakota State. Entz led the Bison to national championships in 2019 and 2021 and a runner-up finish in 2023. His teams made the playoffs every year under his leadership.

Most recently, Entz served as an assistant under Lincoln Riley at USC, experience that helped pave the way for his new role as head coach of the Bulldogs.

The 2025 season will also mark Fresno State’s final year in the Mountain West Conference before making the jump to the Pac-12.

The 2024 offense struggled, scoring its fewest points in a season since 2016. However, the Bulldogs were 5-1 in games where they scored more than 28 points.

The running game was nearly non-existent last year, but new offensive coordinator Josh Davis is placing greater emphasis on the ground attack. Fresno State will lean heavily on Bryson Donelson, who averaged six yards per carry and was second on the team in rushing yards. Elijah Gilliam also contributed, running for 466 yards and scoring eight touchdowns.

At quarterback, Mikey Keene has transferred to Michigan. In his place, the Bulldogs brought in E.J. Warner, a talented passer from Temple and Rice who has thrown for solid yardage but also racked up 37 interceptions over three seasons. Carson Conklin, a standout at Sacramento State, joins the competition after throwing for 3,620 yards and 34 touchdowns last year.

Fresno State’s top receivers have moved on, leaving a need for new playmakers to emerge quickly. One name to watch is Josiah Ayon, a deep threat transfer from Western Colorado.

The offensive line remains a question mark. Veteran Jacob Spomer will anchor the unit at left tackle, aiming to improve his versatility and inside technique. Toreon Pernight is expected to provide flexibility across multiple positions on the line.

Defensively, Fresno State had a respectable 2024. While not dominant overall, the unit performed well on third downs and was solid against the run. The Bulldogs have brought in Nick Benedetto from Northern Illinois to coordinate the defense.

Transfer Korey Foreman from USC showed flashes at defensive end. Finn Claypool, who amassed 30.5 sacks and 51.5 tackles for loss over four years at Drake, brings serious production to the line. Martin Owusu, a 299-pound transfer from Minnesota, adds size to the front.

At linebacker, Jadon Pearson joins from Utah State, and the Bulldogs hope he’ll make an immediate impact.

The secondary looks to be a strength. Aizillion Hamilton was a breakout performer in 2024, tallying 52 tackles, 13 pass breakups, and two interceptions. Simeon Harris, a standout safety at Utah State in 2023, returns after missing most of 2024. Jayden Davis adds further depth.

If Fresno State wants to compete in its final Mountain West season and prepare for the Pac-12 transition, it must re-establish the running game. Under Matt Entz’s run-first philosophy, this will be a priority. The numbers don’t lie: the Bulldogs went 5-0 in games where they rushed for over 120 yards, and 0-5 when held under 90.

Wyoming

There is very little room for error for Wyoming heading into the 2025 season.

The Cowboys endured a difficult 2024 campaign marked by injuries and a tough transition under first-year head coach Jay Sawvel. Sawvel took over after long-time coach Craig Bohl retired following the 2023 Arizona Bowl. While Bohl only won six games in his first two seasons, he eventually built a consistent winner in Laramie. Sawvel is now tasked with continuing that success—but year one didn’t go as planned.

Wyoming finished 3-9 in 2024, their worst season since 2015. The offense sputtered throughout the year, averaging just 19 points per game. Still, there were signs of competitiveness. Five of the Cowboys’ nine losses were by 10 points or fewer, and they dropped close home games to Idaho, San Diego State, and Utah State by a combined nine points. A single play going the other way in each could have put Wyoming back in a bowl game.

If the Cowboys are going to return to the postseason in 2025, they must make significant strides on offense. Under Bohl, Wyoming was known for controlling the tempo, but that identity was lost last season. Fortunately, the offense returns with experience and avoided major losses to the transfer portal.

Kaden Anderson is expected to start at quarterback after seeing limited action as a freshman. He threw six touchdown passes and gave the offense a spark when under center. With more experience, Anderson should improve in decision-making and provide needed stability at the position.

While Wyoming lost some depth at wide receiver, the top three targets return. Tight end John Michael Gyllenborg had 30 catches in 2024, Chris Durr Jr. has proven to be a reliable slot receiver, and Jaylen Sargent brings big-play potential after averaging over 20 yards per catch.

Running back depth remains a concern. Charlotte transfer Terron Kellman brings experience, but Sam Scott is expected to handle most of the workload if healthy.

The offensive line struggled in 2024 but has some pieces to build around. Jack Walsh will start at center, and Caden Barnett, a strong guard who can also play tackle, provides versatility. Improvement will depend on progress during fall camp.

The defense had limited support from the offense but still managed to shine in some areas. It was strong on third downs, though it gave up too many rushing yards overall. The unit got a boost from the transfer portal, helping replace the team's top tacklers from last year.

Ethan Stuhlsatz, who recorded 70 tackles at Lindenwood, is expected to make an immediate impact at outside linebacker. Brayden Johnson, a transfer from Oklahoma Baptist, adds proven production after a 71-tackle, 7.5 TFL season.

The defensive tackle rotation looks promising. Jayden Williams had a breakout second half in 2024, and Ben Florentine, known for his quickness, is expected to contribute significantly.

Tyce Westland is one of the Cowboys’ top pass rushers, and the team will need other edge players to develop around him and Williams to pressure opposing quarterbacks effectively.

Wyoming addressed depth concerns in the secondary by bringing in five new players. Jones Thomas and Andrew Johnson are projected to form a strong safety duo, while Desmon Hearns, a transfer from Southern Illinois, is expected to make an immediate impact with his ability to rack up stats.

There are still question marks at cornerback. Veteran Ian Bell brings experience, but the Cowboys will need younger players to step up and solidify the depth chart.

Wyoming’s path back to a bowl game in 2025 hinges on its offensive development. In 2023, the Cowboys went 9-4 but were 0-3 when scoring fewer than 15 points. In 2024, they went 0-6 when failing to hit that same mark.

The defense should remain competitive, especially with key additions from the portal. If the offense can become even moderately more productive—particularly in the red zone and late-game situations—Wyoming has a real shot at bouncing back this fall.

Hawaii

Hawaii is still trying to establish its identity on offense as head coach Timmy Chang enters his fourth year at the helm. A legendary quarterback in program history, Chang is looking for a dramatic improvement in 2025 as the Rainbow Warriors aim to return to relevance in the Mountain West.

Coaching at Hawaii remains one of the toughest jobs in college football. The geographic isolation presents unique challenges for both recruiting and travel, and while it's tough for visiting teams to make the trip to the islands, it's just as difficult to build sustained success in Honolulu.

Historically known for a high-octane offense, the Rainbow Warriors have struggled to regain that explosiveness. Over the past three seasons, they’ve ranked 104th, 90th, and 89th nationally in total offense. While the passing game was dismal in 2022 (99th), it improved to 27th and 23rd in the following two years. Still, the offense hasn't clicked consistently, particularly on third down.

This year, the expectation is for the offense to take a meaningful step forward. Chang inherited a complete rebuild and has gone 10–16 over the past two seasons—a respectable record given the circumstances.

For Hawaii to be competitive in 2025, Chang’s run-and-shoot system must evolve. The offense struggled to sustain drives and lacked consistency in the passing game, key reasons the Rainbow Warriors missed the postseason.

With Brayden Schager out of eligibility, sophomore Micah Alejado is the projected starter after an encouraging finish to 2024. Alejado, a mobile and accurate passer, completed 70% of his throws in his two starts last season. His potential provides some optimism heading into fall camp.

Alejado has a strong group of receivers to work with. Pofele Ashlock, who caught 83 passes in 2023, was limited by injuries in 2024 but still managed 61 receptions. Dekel Crowdus transferred to Wisconsin, but Hawaii replenished its depth through the portal with Jackson Harris (Kentucky) and Brandon White (Stanford).

The offensive line remains a critical area of concern, especially in pass protection for a team that throws as often as Hawaii. Ethan Spencer is the anchor of the unit, and James Milovale is expected to solidify the right tackle spot. The Warriors didn’t run the ball often in 2024 and averaged just 3.45 yards per carry—another area in need of improvement.

Running back Landon Sims returns after rushing for 351 yards and averaging 5.0 yards per carry in 2024. He only found the end zone once, while Schager accounted for six rushing touchdowns. If Sims can stay healthy and get more touches, he could be a difference-maker.

Defensively, Hawaii held its own last season. The unit ranked in the middle of the Mountain West and could take a step forward this year. A strong linebacking corps returns, giving the defense some stability.

Jamih Otis led the team with 55 tackles, followed closely by Logan Taylor with 52. Outside linebacker Jalen Smith also returns and is expected to play a key role.

In the secondary, Peter Manuma is back after an injury-plagued 2024. A potential all-conference talent, Manuma had 8.7 sacks and three interceptions in 2023. He’s supported by Elijah Palmer and Kilinahe Mendiola-Jensen, who combined for 65 tackles and nine pass breakups last season. Virdel Edwards II, a promising cornerback, is healthy again after missing all of last season. However, the secondary did lose Caleb Brown, who transferred to Virginia Tech.

Up front, the defensive line struggled to make an impact in key moments. Elijah Robinson led the unit with five sacks, and Tariq Jones also returns. The Warriors added reinforcements through the transfer portal in De’Jon Bentley (New Mexico) and Luther McCoy (Minnesota), both of whom are expected to contribute immediately.

For Hawaii to turn the corner, the team must improve on third downs and reduce penalties. The Rainbow Warriors were 0–4 in games where they committed more than 10 penalties last season.

The defense may have its lapses, but the offense should improve if the run-and-shoot system clicks. Hawaii needs to become more efficient in the passing game and increase its third-down conversion rate, which sat at just 37% in 2024.

Utah State

Bronco Mendenhall is back in the state of Utah.

After 11 seasons at BYU, a successful run at Virginia, and a promising 2024 season at New Mexico, Mendenhall has taken over as head coach at Utah State. His goal: to build momentum for the Aggies as they prepare to join the Pac-12 in 2026.

Since 2012, Utah State has recorded four 10-win seasons—the most successful stretch in program history. Bowl appearances became the norm, raising expectations in Logan. However, the Aggies have posted losing records in each of the past three seasons, and former head coach Blake Anderson was fired before the start of the 2024 season. With turmoil and transition, last season offered little hope for a turnaround.

Now enters Mendenhall, a proven program builder. He led BYU to two Mountain West championships, guided Virginia to an Orange Bowl appearance, and helped New Mexico field one of the nation's top offenses in 2024. His track record speaks for itself.

Still, rebuilding won’t be easy. Over 30 players entered the transfer portal, and Utah State didn’t gain as much depth in return. While 2025 will likely be another developmental year, Mendenhall’s presence alone makes this team intriguing to watch.

Don’t expect Utah State to rank fourth nationally in total offense like New Mexico did under Mendenhall last year, but his offenses are typically dynamic. He’s bringing in Kevin McGiven from San Jose State as offensive coordinator, who led a productive Spartans offense in recent seasons.

The Aggies finished sixth in the country in total offense last year, averaging 468 yards and 32 points per game. Quarterback Spencer Petras is gone, but Utah transfer Bryson Barnes brings experience and versatility. He tossed 12 touchdowns at Utah and added 348 rushing yards over his final two games. Arizona transfer Anthony Garcia will also compete for snaps under center.

The loss of star wide receiver Jalen Royals, now with the Kansas City Chiefs, leaves a big hole. However, Utah State added wideouts Corey Thompson (UNLV), Brady Boyd (Texas Tech), and Demick Starling (Western Kentucky) through the portal to help fill the void.

A major concern is the offensive line, which must replace all five starters. Transfer Jake Eichorn brings leadership, but there’s little proven talent around him.

In the backfield, Barnes will be supported by transfer running backs Miles Davis (BYU) and Javen Jacobs (New Mexico). Both backs bring speed and could average around five yards per carry.

On defense, 2024 was a disaster. Even with support from a high-powered offense, the Aggies allowed 470 yards and 38 points per game. Mendenhall brought in defensive coordinator Nick Howell from New Mexico in hopes of fixing a struggling unit.

One bright spot is safety Ike Larsen, arguably the best at his position in the conference. Larsen has totaled 217 tackles, nine interceptions, and 17 pass breakups in his career. He’ll be joined by Omari Okeke and New Mexico transfer Bobby Arnold in the secondary. Bryson Taylor and Noah Avinger, also from New Mexico, could form a solid cornerback duo.

Linebacker Cian Slone transferred to NC State, but Bronson Olevao returns after recording 3.5 sacks and 23 tackles. John Miller is also back following a 52-tackle season.

Up front, the defensive line lacks experience. Gabriel Iniguez is solid against the run, while Bo Maile offers flexibility as a defensive end or interior lineman. Lafayette transfer Tyree Morris could also help boost the unit.

Run defense remains a glaring issue. The Aggies allowed 5.4 yards per carry and gave up over 200 rushing yards in seven games last season. That must improve if they hope to compete in 2025.

Additionally, Utah State struggled mightily with time of possession, frequently losing the battle for clock control—putting added pressure on the defense.

San Diego State

Snapdragon Stadium remains a vibrant venue in San Diego, and the San Diego State basketball team continues to draw national attention, with over 120,000 students applying to the university in the fall semester.

But the football program still has work to do.

For years, San Diego State struggled to gain traction in football. That changed under Rocky Long, who transformed the Aztecs into a Mountain West powerhouse, leading the team to 12 consecutive bowl appearances. However, times have changed. Over the past two seasons, the Aztecs have posted a disappointing 7–17 record. Brady Hoke’s final season in 2023 ended with a 4–8 record.

In 2024, Sean Lewis took over as head coach and began implementing a fast-paced, hurry-up offense. However, such a system takes time to develop—especially when the personnel doesn't yet fit the scheme. Upon his arrival, Lewis lacked key pieces for his system, but the transfer portal offered opportunities to reshape the roster. Heading into the 2026 season, when San Diego State will join the Pac-12, expectations are that the offense will show marked improvement.

So far, progress has been slow. In 2024, the Aztecs were secure with the football—committing just nine turnovers—but their offense averaged only 335 yards and 21 points per game.

Quarterback Danny O’Neill transferred to Wisconsin, but the Aztecs have added reinforcements. Jayden Denegal (Michigan) and Bert Emanuel Jr. (Central Michigan) bring contrasting styles to the quarterback room. Emanuel is a dual-threat option, while Denegal is known for his passing ability.

The offensive line had difficulty adapting to the new scheme but shows promise. Christian Jones and Ross Ulugalu-Maseuli anchor the line, while transfers Dallas Fincher (Michigan State) and Bayo Kannike (Utah Tech) are expected to contribute immediately.

At wide receiver, the group underperformed in 2024. Jordan Napier led the way with 43 receptions and four touchdowns. He’s developing into a reliable target, and the addition of Texas A&M transfer Jacob Bostick should provide needed depth. Myles Kitt-Denton, a speedy transfer from Northwestern State, adds another weapon to the receiving corps.

Tight ends remain integral to Lewis’s offense. Seth Adams (SE Louisiana) and Jackson Ford (Tulsa) bring size and versatility to the position.

Running back Marquez Cooper, who rushed for 1,274 yards and 12 touchdowns last season, has moved on. Returning back Lucky Sutton and Coastal Carolina transfer Christian Washington will look to fill that void.

On defense, the Aztecs struggled mightily in the second half of 2024. While the offense is expected to improve, the defense remains a work in progress—but there is experience to build on.

Edge rusher Trey White is the defensive cornerstone and an All-American candidate, having posted 12.5 sacks and 18.5 tackles for loss. Brady Nassar provides valuable depth up front.

Improving against the run is a top priority. Veterans Teivis Tuioti, Krishna Clay, and Malachi Finau bring experience that could help shore up the interior.

The linebacker unit is solid, led by Tano Letuli, who recorded a team-high 70 tackles. He’ll be joined by experienced contributors Owen Chambliss and Mister Williams.

The Aztecs are expected to maintain a strong pass rush, but the secondary must be more consistent. Cornerback Chris Johnson is among the best in the Mountain West, and the safety duo of Eric Butler and Dalesean Staley adds stability on the back end.

Finally, discipline is a major concern. San Diego State was the most penalized team in the nation last season, averaging nine penalties for 82 yards per game. Cutting back on mental mistakes will be essential for the team to take the next step.

Nevada

There’s still a long road ahead for the Wolf Pack, but Nevada appears poised to take a significant step forward in 2025.

In 2022, the program took a major hit when head coach Jay Norvell left for Colorado State, bringing a large portion of Nevada’s roster with him to Fort Collins. His departure marked the beginning of a difficult transition. Ken Wilson's tenure as head coach was short-lived and unsuccessful, finishing with a 4–20 record over two seasons.

In response, Nevada hired Jeff Choate, a former head coach at Montana State and most recently the defensive coordinator at Texas. Though the Wolf Pack finished 3–10 in 2024, they showed clear signs of improvement.

Nevada opened the season with a competitive showing against SMU, narrowly falling 29–24 at home. In total, the Wolf Pack lost six games by one score—indicating they're closer to turning the corner than their record suggests. With more experience, a stronger roster, and a favorable 2025 schedule, expectations are rising. While a bowl game might not happen this year, Nevada is trending in the right direction.

The offense saw major improvements in 2024, scoring nearly 100 more points than the previous season. While the team is still searching for consistent explosive plays, the overall talent level is clearly higher.

Chubba Purdy is now the focal point at quarterback. After previous stops at Florida State and Nebraska, Purdy spent last year behind Brendan Lewis, who has since transferred to Memphis. Purdy brings dynamic dual-threat ability and should adapt quickly to the revamped offense.

The receiving corps lost some top talent but retains Marcus Bellon, who was third on the team in receptions with 39. Jordan Brown, a transfer from Texas Tech, brings speed and outside playmaking ability. Nate Burleson II and Marshaun Brown are other key names to watch at wide receiver.

In the backfield, Nevada is deeper and more talented. Herschel Turner arrives from Utah State after averaging five yards per carry last season, while Caleb Ramseur will also see a significant role.

The offensive line faces some challenges after losing standout Isaiah World to Oregon. Andrew Madrigal and Josh Grabowski are expected to step up, and transfers Jack Foster (Idaho) and Hadine Diaby (Tennessee State) provide much-needed depth.

Defensively, Nevada made modest strides in 2024 but struggled mightily against the run. The most glaring issue was third-down defense—Nevada ranked last in the nation, allowing opponents to convert 53% of the time. In four of their last eight games, opponents converted third downs at an alarming 65% rate.

Improving the defensive line will be crucial. Dylan Labarbera and Jonathan Moldanodo return as anchors up front, while Nelson Ropati and Thomas Wittie provide a foundation for growth. Transfers Logologo Va’a (UTEP) and Bryce Echols (Arizona) are expected to make an immediate impact.

The secondary is almost entirely rebuilt through the transfer portal. AJ Odums (New Mexico), Edward Rhambo (Bowling Green), Cooper Wilson (Nebraska), and Hayden McDonald (Columbia) will all compete for starting roles at corner. Murvin Kenion (Sacramento State) is projected to be one of the team's top tacklers.

Linebacker Stone Combs, who finished fourth on the team with 58 tackles, returns as a defensive leader. Nahji Logan, a transfer from UMass, also brings a physical presence and experience.

If the defense can show even moderate improvement—particularly on third down—Nevada could surprise teams in 2025. Only Nevada and Purdue allowed opponents to convert more than 50%. New Mexico’s defense was right at 50%. What’s even more alarming is that the Nevada defense allowed their opponents to convert 65% of the time on third down in four of their last eight games.

UNLV

Dan Mullen is back on the sidelines as a head coach.

Mullen previously enjoyed successful tenures at Mississippi State and Florida. In 2014, he led the Bulldogs to become the first-ever team ranked No. 1 in the College Football Playoff rankings. After his time in Gainesville, Mullen spent the past three years as a college football analyst for ESPN.

Now, he takes over a UNLV program undergoing a massive roster overhaul. The Rebels have added 30 new players, and the starting 22 will look almost entirely different from last season.

UNLV has competed at the FBS level since 1978 but has just 12 winning seasons in 47 years—and only two 10-win seasons in program history. Barry Odom helped spark a resurgence in 2023, restoring energy to the program before leaving for the head coaching job at Purdue.

However, a deeper look at the Rebels’ recent success reveals some cautionary context. Of UNLV’s 20 wins over the past two seasons, only three came against teams that finished with winning records. In 2023, they beat Houston and Kansas—both of whom ended with losing records. Their win over Vanderbilt came against a team that finished 2–10. Still, Odom elevated a program with little recent history of success, and the foundation is in place.

UNLV is now banking on Dan Mullen to take the program to new heights—potentially even into the Pac-12, should realignment opportunities arise. But to get there, the Rebels must keep winning.

Mullen is widely regarded as one of the most innovative offensive minds in college football, and his arrival should energize the offense. Corey Dennis, who will coordinate the offense, brings a strong track record of developing quarterbacks. Expect a heated quarterback competition this fall.

Alex Orji arrives from Michigan with all the tools to succeed but struggled to put it together in 2024. Anthony Colandrea, a dual-threat from Virginia, brings promise but needs to cut down on interceptions.

At wide receiver, Jaden Bradley is expected to emerge as the primary target. Transfers Troy Omeire (Arizona State) and JoJo Earle (TCU) provide immediate depth and experience.

One of the biggest tasks for the Rebels is rebuilding the offensive line, which lost all five starters. The unit will be anchored by center Reid Williams, a transfer from Chattanooga, and rounded out with help from the portal. While it’s a challenge, the transfer additions give the coaching staff flexibility and depth.

At running back, Jai’Den Thomas returns as the lead back and will be a focal point in Mullen’s offense. Transfers Jaylon Glover (Utah) and Keyvone Lee (Mississippi State) add valuable depth to the backfield.

Defensively, UNLV has big shoes to fill after Barry Odom's impressive work. The 2024 defense was second-best in the Mountain West and led the league in rushing defense. That unit has been almost entirely rebuilt through the transfer portal.

Linebacker is the biggest area of concern. Replacing Jackson Woodard will be tough, but the return of Marsel McDuffie at middle linebacker provides some continuity. Transfers Bryce Edmondson (Memphis) and Justin Flowe (Arizona) are expected to contribute right away.

The defensive line is being rebuilt from scratch as well. Tunmise Adeleye (Michigan State) and Chief Borders (Pitt) are expected to lead the charge, alongside Jalen Lee (LSU) and JUCO transfer Cohen Fuller on the interior.

In the secondary, the departures of Tony Grimes and Jalen Catalon leave a void. To fill it, UNLV brings in corners Denver Harris (UTSA), Laterrance Welch (Arizona State), and Andrew Powdrell (Montana State). At safety, Kodi DeCambra will be key, supported by new additions Jaheem Joseph (West Virginia), Aamaris Brown (USF), and Jake Pope (Georgia).

The running game may not be as dominant as last year. Matthew Sluka started the first three games in 2024 before entering the transfer portal. Hajj Malik-Williams stepped in and ran the offense efficiently with great accuracy. If either Orji or Colandrea can complete 60% or more of their passes, the Rebels’ offense should thrive under Mullen's direction.

Colorado State

In 2022, Colorado State hired Jay Norvell away from Nevada to help return the Rams to their former glory. By 2024, signs of progress were clear—the program was beginning to turn the corner.

During his 15-year tenure at Colorado State, Sonny Lubick led the Rams to six conference championships and set a standard for success. While Jay Norvell hasn’t brought the Rams back to that level yet, he’s made steady progress. Before Norvell’s arrival, CSU endured four straight losing seasons. Since then, the Rams have improved their win total each year: they went 3–9 in 2022, 5–7 in 2023, and 8–5 in 2024.

Now, with one final season in the Mountain West before moving to the Pac-12 in 2026, the Rams are setting their sights high. Their goal in 2025 is clear: win the Mountain West Championship. It would be their first conference title since 2002 under Lubick.

While the road won't be easy—the 2025 schedule is tougher—the team believes this could be a year to remember. Jay Norvell hopes to lead his team to the conference title game, but the offense must rise to the challenge.

The Rams' offense hasn’t consistently performed at the level Norvell expects, even against weaker defenses. The running game was serviceable, and the offensive line did a solid job minimizing tackles for loss. Two key returners up front are guard Tanner Morley and tackle Liam Wortmann, a transfer from Central Missouri. However, depth remains a concern, making health along the line critical.

At quarterback, Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi returns with breakout potential. He impressed as a freshman in 2023 but took a step back in 2024, throwing for under 3,000 yards with 14 touchdowns and nine interceptions. A rebound year from him will be key to the Rams' success.

The receiving corps looks promising despite adversity. Star wideout Tory Horton suffered a season-ending injury early last year, creating opportunities for others. Armani Winfield led the team with 38 catches, and Jordan Ross flashed potential. Transfers Kojo Antwi (Ohio State), Rocky Beers (FIU), and tight end Carlos Anaya (Wofford) are strong additions from the portal.

In the backfield, Avery Morrow—who rushed for over 1,000 yards in 2024—is gone. Justin Marshall, who gained 746 yards last season, steps into the lead role. He’ll be joined by Vann Schield, returning to CSU after a year at Northern Colorado, and Tulsa transfer Lloyd Avant.

Defensively, Colorado State has shown steady improvement. While the pass rush was underwhelming and the defensive line struggled at times, the Rams held opponents under 24 points in seven games last season. New defensive coordinator Tyson Summers brings head coaching experience from Georgia Southern and most recently served as DC at Western Kentucky.

The defense lost top pass rusher Gabe Kirschke to Wake Forest, but Mukendi Wa-Kalonji is expected to step up. Paul Tangelo (Saint Francis) brings proven production, with seven sacks and ten tackles for loss in 2024. Former Cal and New Mexico DE Moso’oipala Tuitele adds experience and had four sacks last year.

Interior linemen Gabe Jones (New Mexico State), Jernias Tafia, and Andrew Laurich need to raise their level of play to stabilize the middle of the defense.

Linebacker is almost a full rebuild. Owen Long returns after a promising freshman season with 45 tackles. With Buom Jock transferring to Cal, the Rams will lean on Iowa State transfer Jacob Ellis and Baylor transfer JaQues Evans—both expected to make an immediate impact.

In the secondary, SMU transfer Jahari Rogers will take over at cornerback, while standout safety Jake Jarmolowich (Holy Cross) looks to replace Ayden Hector. The two should keep the pass defense competitive.

The Rams’ path to success starts with Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi—but it may end with the running game. In 2024, Colorado State went 6–0 in games where it rushed for over 180 yards. If the offensive line stays healthy and the backs deliver, the Rams have a real chance to contend.

With steady improvement each year under Jay Norvell, 2025 could be the season Colorado State finally breaks through—and leaves the Mountain West on a high note.

New Mexico

New Mexico hasn't been known for having a winning football culture—at least not since Rocky Long resigned as head coach in 2008.

Since Long’s departure, the Lobos have gone through five head coaches and managed just two winning seasons, both under Bob Davie in 2015 and 2016. However, Davie couldn't sustain that success.

A few years ago, it looked like the program had found its perfect fit in Danny Gonzales, a former Lobo himself. Unfortunately, that experiment fell short—Gonzales never led the team to more than four wins. Last season, Bronco Mendenhall briefly brought optimism, but he left for Utah State after just one year.

Now, New Mexico turns to Jason Eck, who arrives from Idaho with a strong track record. Eck led the Vandals to three consecutive FCS Playoff appearances and brings a winning mindset the program desperately needs.

The Mountain West Conference is not particularly strong this year, and there are several winnable games on the Lobos’ schedule. After an intriguing 2024 season, 2025 could be a breakout year—if Eck can jumpstart the offense.

Eck is known for his offensive acumen. Before becoming Idaho’s head coach, he was an offensive coordinator at several FCS schools, where his units consistently performed well.

Interestingly, New Mexico’s offensive line was a bright spot last year. The Lobos allowed the fewest sacks in the country, thanks to a strong scheme and solid execution. Guard Richard Pearce is the lone returning starter on the offensive line, but incoming transfers are expected to compete for key roles. Fall camp should be competitive and critical in sorting out the offense.

At quarterback, Devon Dampier transferred to Utah, leaving a void. Jack Layne, who followed Eck from Idaho, is expected to take over. Despite missing half of last season, Layne threw for 1,500 yards and 14 touchdowns in 2024. James Laubstein remains with the program and provides depth at the position.

The running back room received a major boost through the portal. Scottre Humphrey joins from Montana State after rushing for nearly 1,100 yards and 13 touchdowns. He’ll be joined by Damon Bankston (Weber State) and Deshawn Buchanan (Idaho), both expected to contribute heavily.

Wide receiver is undergoing a complete rebuild. While there’s enough depth, most of the production will have to come from transfers. Keegan Johnson (Kansas State) is a name to watch on the outside. JUCO transfer Isaiah Blair brings speed on deep routes, and tight ends Dorian Thomas (Arizona State) and Cade Keith (TCU) should provide valuable experience.

Defensively, Eck inherits a major challenge. New Mexico had one of the worst defenses in the nation last season and must replace nearly every starter. However, some returning and incoming players provide hope.

Linebacker Dimitri Johnson is back after a 77-tackle season, and Randolph Kpai added 80 tackles of his own. Joining them is the coach’s son, Jaxton Eck, who recorded 134 tackles last season at Idaho.

The secondary is entirely rebuilt through the transfer portal. Abraham Williams (Idaho) is a standout return specialist and will be crucial at cornerback if healthy—he missed most of last year with an injury. Safety Clint Stephens (UCLA) and cornerback Austin Bawley (Ohio), who recorded 97 tackles over three seasons, will anchor the back end.

The star of the defense is edge rusher Keshawn James-Newby (Idaho), who posted 10.5 sacks and 14.5 tackles for loss last season. He’ll be joined by Xavier Slayton and Darren Agu (Vanderbilt) to form a potentially disruptive unit.

Up front, nose tackle Brian Booker brings size and power, while Gabriel Lopez—who missed much of last season—is expected to return as a strong pass-rushing presence.

The offense is expected to take a step back from last season, but the defense simply can't be as poor—especially on third downs. In 2024, New Mexico allowed opponents to convert 50% of their third-down attempts, ranking near the bottom of the nation. Only Purdue and Nevada were worse at getting off the field in those situations.

Interestingly, Jason Eck’s Idaho teams also struggled on third down, allowing a 44% conversion rate last season. Still, it’s worth noting that just a few years ago, New Mexico fielded a surprisingly solid defense under Danny Gonzales—despite having one of the worst offenses in the country. That recent success suggests there’s potential for improvement on that side of the ball.

Air Force

Troy Calhoun has developed a remarkable level of consistency during his 18-year tenure as the head coach of the Air Force Falcons.

From 2019 to 2023, the Falcons won nine or more games in four out of five seasons. The exception was 2020, when they went 4–4 during a pandemic-shortened schedule. However, last season marked a step back.

Air Force finished 5–7 in 2024, missing a bowl game for the first time since 2018.

The offense struggled to find rhythm with its signature triple-option attack, and the defense had difficulty getting opponents off the field. The Falcons rushed for just 2,688 yards—a steep drop from the 3,660 they tallied the year before. Special teams also suffered from mental mistakes. But it wasn’t all bad.

After starting 1–7, the Falcons rallied to win their final four games and return in 2025 with a more experienced offense. The defense should improve as well.

Air Force’s schedule in 2025 does not include any Power Four opponents, and Calhoun has a history of quick turnarounds. The last time the Falcons missed a bowl game, in 2018, they bounced back with an 11–2 record in 2019—tied for the most wins in program history.

The problem last season was that the triple-option offense didn't hit its stride until it was too late. In their opener against Merrimack, the Falcons struggled and didn’t surpass 300 rushing yards in a game until November. By contrast, they eclipsed 300 yards in six of their first eight games in 2023.

Quarterback could be a strength in 2025. Quentin Hayes, who took over late last season and provided a spark, is gone, so there will be a battle for the starting job. Josh Johnson is the only returning quarterback with experience. Liam Szarka shows promise but still needs development.

Hayes finished second on the team in rushing last season, and whoever wins the starting job will likely rank among the top three rushers again. Running back Dylan Carson, who led the team with 600 rushing yards despite missing a few games, returns and is poised for a bigger role.

Carson will operate inside, while Owen Allen and Terrence Gist provide power running options. Kade Frew brings speed to the backfield and is expected to get more touches. Cade Harris, a quick outside runner typically used in the backfield rather than at receiver, adds versatility.

The offensive line, like the offense as a whole, struggled early last year but showed improvement as the season progressed. Three starters return to support All–Mountain West center Costen Cooley. Left tackle Trevor Tate and left guard Alec Falk anchor a more stable unit in 2025.

The Falcons' wide receivers remain largely a complement to the run-heavy scheme, designed to capitalize on big-play opportunities. Cade Harris led the team in receptions last year with 23 catches for 368 yards and two touchdowns. Quin Smith averaged nearly 20 yards per catch on 11 receptions. Tight end Bruin Fleischmann is back but will mostly be used as a blocker in the triple option.

Defensively, Air Force has some rebuilding to do—but with Calhoun at the helm, expectations remain high.

Despite struggles, Air Force finished No. 1 in the Mountain West in total defense last season. However, the unit must replace nearly all of its starters.

The defensive line should remain a strength. Daniel Grobe returns after posting 4.5 tackles for loss and 31 total tackles. Tackling will be a hallmark of this team.

Payton Zdroik may be undersized, but he recorded three sacks and 6.5 tackles for loss last season. Adam Swartz is expected to play a key role as well.

At linebacker, the Falcons need to replace standout David Santiago, who transferred to Michigan State. Blake Fletcher is the likely starter at outside linebacker and is expected to step in effectively.

The team also needs to develop a reliable pass rush. Jackson Adams and Chance Carter-Hill must emerge as a solid foundation on the edge.

The secondary is the biggest concern heading into 2025. Camby Goff and Jamari Bellamy are gone, and Lincoln Tuioti-Mariner transferred to Southern Utah after finishing fourth on the team in tackles.

Kyle Chen is the top returning tackler among defensive backs, and Houston Hendrix is expected to slide into the free safety role. However, the cornerback position remains a major question mark.

Statistically, the 2024 team was the least productive rushing unit in Troy Calhoun’s 18-year tenure. Traditionally a powerhouse on the ground, Air Force averaged six yards per carry in the pandemic-shortened 2020 season. For 2025, the goal is clear: surpass the 4,000-yard rushing mark after failing to reach even 3,000 last year.

Boise State

In 2024, the Boise State Broncos represented the Group of 5 in the first-ever 12-team College Football Playoff.

Cincinnati became the first Group of 5 team to reach the Playoff back in 2021, but they’ve since moved to the Big 12. Boise State now holds the distinction of being the second Group of 5 team to earn a Playoff berth.

Unfortunately, Boise State’s postseason run ended quickly with a 31–14 loss to Penn State in the Fiesta Bowl. Early exits may remain a trend for Group of 5 teams, as they often lack the talent and depth of Power Four programs, especially in the playoff environment.

Still, Boise State has consistently proven it belongs in national conversations. The Broncos were the first Group of 5 team to play in a New Year’s Six Bowl, famously defeating Arizona in the 2014 Fiesta Bowl. Their sustained success makes them a perennial contender to break into elite territory.

The program has posted 27 consecutive winning seasons, winning 10 or more games in 19 of them. That consistency under coaches like Dan Hawkins, Chris Petersen, and Bryan Harsin has set the standard. Andy Avalos won 10 games in 2022, but a 5–5 start in 2023 wasn’t enough to satisfy Bronco Nation. Spencer Danielson has since taken the reins, going 15–4 with two Mountain West titles and a College Football Playoff appearance already under his belt.

His journey is just beginning.

Once again, the road to the Mountain West Conference title runs through Boise. This will be Boise State’s swan song in the conference before they join the Pac-12 in 2026.

Boise State’s formula for success in 2024 relied heavily on controlling the clock, running the ball effectively, and playing stout defense. Their offense revolved around star running back Ashton Jeanty, who rushed for 2,601 yards and 29 touchdowns and was a Heisman Trophy finalist. Jeanty, now a Las Vegas Raider, leaves big shoes to fill.

The Broncos will turn to Fresno State transfer Malik Sherrod, who rushed for 966 yards and nine touchdowns in 2023 before being sidelined by injury. Talented freshman Sire Gaines, who gained 156 yards and a touchdown behind Jeanty last season, is also in the mix.

At quarterback, former USC recruit Malachi Nelson was expected to take the lead role, but it was Maddux Madsen who won the job. Nelson has since transferred to UTEP. Madsen proved himself by throwing for over 3,000 yards and 23 touchdowns, adding five more scores on the ground.

The wide receiver corps remains mostly intact. Matt Lauter led the team with 47 catches and seven touchdowns, while Latrell Caples added 38 receptions and five scores. Price Strachan transferred to USC, but Chris Marshall is expected to contribute on the outside.

Three of five starting offensive linemen return, led by left tackle Kage Casey. Hall Schmidt and Roger Carreon will help anchor a unit critical to sustaining Boise State’s offensive tempo.

Thanks to such a dynamic offense, the defense was able to stay fresh—and it delivered.

Boise State’s defense held its own against high-powered offenses like Oregon and Penn State. While they gave up yards, they made key stops and remained aggressive. The Broncos finished fifth in the nation in tackles for loss, and only Ole Miss recorded more sacks.

The 2025 defense could be even better.

Edge rusher Ahmed Hassanein now plays for the Detroit Lions, but Jayden Virgin-Morgan returns after a breakout season with 10 sacks and 15.5 tackles for loss. Max Stege is poised for a larger role after recording three sacks, and Arizona transfer Sterling Lane II is expected to make an immediate impact.

Interior lineman Braxton Fely, though undersized, showed explosive speed and notched 5.5 sacks and nine tackles for loss. Transfers Dion Washington (Hawai‘i) and David Latu (BYU) will bring added toughness and depth to the defensive front.

In the secondary, Ty Benefield returns at safety after a strong season with 82 tackles, five tackles for loss, and two interceptions. Zion Washington is back at strong safety after tallying 67 tackles and six pass breakups. Davon Banks is likely to emerge in the nickel role and had a memorable pick-six against San Jose State.

Boise State’s cornerbacks are arguably the best in the Mountain West. Jeremiah Earby and A’Marian McCoy combined for 94 tackles, two interceptions, and 21 pass breakups last season.

Middle linebacker Marco Notarainni will anchor the defense once again. He excels at stopping the run and getting into the backfield, registering 3.5 sacks and 7.5 tackles for loss in 2024. While Andrew Simpson transferred to North Carolina, Chase Martin has the potential to step up and contribute at linebacker.

Final Thoughts

Boise State continues to carry the flag for Group of 5 programs and is well-positioned to dominate the Mountain West once again before entering a new chapter in the Pac-12. While the departure of stars like Ashton Jeanty will present challenges, the Broncos' combination of coaching stability, defensive firepower, and offensive versatility ensures they remain one of college football’s most resilient and respected programs.